Kenya Met Forecast Predicts Sunshine For Most, Showers For 20 Counties

While most of the country prepares for a dusty and sun-drenched week, the Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a forecast identifying a few lucky—or perhaps soggy—exceptions. In a notice released on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the “weatherman” confirmed that while dry conditions will dominate the national landscape for the next five days, 20 specific counties are still in the line for light to moderate rainfall.

The Rainfall Zone: 20 Counties to Watch
If you are in the Highlands West of the Rift Valley or the Lake Victoria Basin, don’t pack away the umbrella just yet. Moderate showers are expected both in the afternoon and at night in the following areas:

Lake Victoria Basin: Siaya, Kisumu, Homabay, Migori, Kisii, and Nyamira.

Highlands West & Rift Valley: Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, and West Pokot.

Western Region: Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, and Busia.

The National Heat Map

For the rest of Kenya, the forecast is defined by clear skies and rising temperatures. The Northwestern region (Turkana and Samburu) will be the country’s “hot zone,” with temperatures peaking at a blistering 38°C.

Meanwhile, the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, and Kiambu, will remain sunny and dry. Expect daytime highs of 31°C, though residents should prepare for chilly early mornings as temperatures could dip as low as 8°C.

In the Northeastern counties—Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa, and Isiolo—the sun will be out in full force with maximums of 37°C. Down at the Coast and within the Southeastern lowlands (Machakos, Kitui, and Taita Taveta), temperatures will range between 33°C and 35°C, offering a typical tropical heatwave.

A Chilly Silver Lining
Despite the daytime heat, Kenya Met noted that night temperatures across many regions will remain partly cloudy. This should provide some much-needed relief from the sun’s intensity, though the significant drop between midday heat and early morning cold (especially in the highlands) may catch some off guard.

Whether you’re bracing for a downpour in Kisumu or seeking shade in Turkana, the next week promises a classic Kenyan mix of extreme heat and localized relief.