Kenya Met Forecasts Dry Conditions Across Country as Coast Records Expected Showers

The Kenya Meteorological Department has forecast mainly dry, partly cloudy and cold conditions across most parts of the country, with rainfall expected only in a few regions.

According to the latest weather update covering the period from Thursday, June 18, 2026, at 9.00 p.m. to Friday, June 19, 2026, at 9.00 p.m., showers are likely to affect parts of the Coast region, while isolated showers and thunderstorms may occur in some areas of the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley.

“Dry conditions are expected across the country, with showers mostly over the Coast. Intermittent cloudy and cold conditions are expected over some parts of the Highlands west and east of the Rift Valley and the southeastern lowlands,” Kenya Met stated.

Regions likely to receive rainfall

The Kenya Met Department said parts of the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin and the Rift Valley are likely to experience showers and thunderstorms in a few areas, especially during the afternoon after sunny intervals in the morning.

Counties expected to be affected include Kakamega, Kisumu, Kisii, Nakuru, Kericho, Bungoma and Narok.

In the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, Nyeri, Kiambu, Murang’a, Meru and Embu counties, residents can expect partly cloudy conditions with chances of showers at night. Cloudy mornings with possible rainfall are also expected before sunny periods later in the day.

The Coast region, covering Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale, Lamu and Tana River counties, is also expected to receive showers in a few places during the morning and afternoon, with sunny breaks in between.

Mostly dry weather expected in other regions

North-western and north-eastern Kenya are expected to remain largely sunny and dry. Areas including Turkana, Samburu, Marsabit, Garissa, Mandera, Wajir and Isiolo counties are likely to experience minimal rainfall.

The southeastern lowlands, including Machakos, Makueni, Kitui, Taita Taveta and Kajiado counties, are expected to experience partly cloudy conditions. Cloudy skies in the morning are expected to give way to sunny intervals later in the day.

Strong winds warning

Kenya Met has also issued a warning over strong southerly to southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots (12.5 metres per second) in parts of northwestern, northeastern, southeastern lowlands and coastal counties.

Residents in the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, as well as the southeastern lowlands, have been advised to prepare for continued cold and cloudy conditions as dry weather persists in most parts of the country.

Kenya MET: Dry Weather Expected Across Kenya as Strong Winds Affect Several Regions

enya is expected to experience mostly dry weather conditions between June 17 and 18, 2026, with rainfall largely limited to parts of the Coast region, according to the latest weather update.

The forecast indicates that most parts of the country will remain dry, while coastal areas may receive occasional showers.

The Kenya Meteorological Department has also warned of intermittent cloudy and cold conditions in parts of the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, as well as the Southeastern lowlands.

Residents in these regions should expect cooler conditions at times, with increased cloud cover affecting some areas.

Strong Winds Expected in Several Counties

The weather outlook has highlighted strong southerly to southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots, equivalent to about 12.5 metres per second, in several parts of the country.

The affected areas include Turkana, Marsabit, Garissa, Mandera, Wajir, Isiolo, Makueni, Kitui, and the coastal counties.

Residents, motorists, and those involved in outdoor activities in the affected regions have been advised to remain cautious due to the possibility of strong winds.

The forecast comes as Kenya continues to experience varying weather patterns, with some regions recording cooler conditions while others remain predominantly sunny and dry.

Kenya Met Issues Weather Update- Light Showers To Be Experiences In Some Parts Of The Country

The Kenya Meteorological Department has released its latest 24-hour weather forecast, valid from tonight through to 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, June 16, 2026. The national outlook indicates that a large part of the country will remain generally dry, with precipitation predominantly restricted to the coastal strip.

Meanwhile, residents living within the Highlands east and west of the Rift Valley, alongside the South-Eastern Lowlands, should brace themselves for intermittent chilly and cloudy conditions.

Regional Weather Breakdown

The Coast

Counties along the coastal lip—including Kwale, Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, and Tana River—are projected to experience scattered showers cutting across the night, morning, and afternoon hours. This rainfall will offer a temporary reprieve from the prolonged dry spell dominant across neighboring zones.

Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Basin, and Rift Valley

For regions spanning the Lake Victoria Basin and the western highlands, the evening will start with partly cloudy skies. This will transition into sunny intervals during the morning and afternoon hours tomorrow, though a few isolated areas may experience light, localized showers later in the day.

Nairobi and Highlands East of the Rift Valley

The capital city, Nairobi, alongside neighboring counties east of the Rift Valley, will kick off the day with blanketed, cloudy conditions. There is a strong probability of light morning drizzle in a few places before the weather breaks into sunny intervals as the afternoon progresses.

Northern Kenya & South-Eastern Lowlands

  • The North: Arid and semi-arid zones in Northern Kenya will remain largely dry with sunny conditions controlling the daytime hours. Nonetheless, isolated pockets within Marsabit and Garissa counties might record brief, light morning showers.

  • South-Eastern Lowlands: A similar atmospheric pattern is expected here, where heavy morning cloud cover is anticipated to clear out, giving way to bright, sunny intervals later in the afternoon.

Kenya Met issues 24 hour rainfall warning for the following counties

The Kenya Meteorological Department has forecast widespread rainfall and cooler conditions across several parts of the country, with most regions expected to experience showers between Wednesday night and Thursday, June 11.

In its latest 24-hour weather outlook, the department said intermittent cloudy skies and lower temperatures are likely to prevail over the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, as well as the South Eastern lowlands.

The forecast, which remains valid through Thursday evening, also warns of strong southerly and southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots (about 12.5 metres per second) in parts of North Western, North Eastern, Eastern, South Eastern Lowlands and Coastal regions.

Residents in the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin and Rift Valley counties—including Kakamega, Vihiga, Busia, Bungoma, Kisumu, Kisii, Nyamira, Migori, Siaya, Homa Bay, Kericho, Nandi, Bomet, Nakuru, Elgeyo Marakwet, West Pokot, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia and Narok—should expect partly cloudy conditions overnight, with isolated showers in some areas.

Sunny intervals are expected on Thursday morning before showers and thunderstorms develop in parts of the region during the afternoon.

In the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, covering Nairobi, Kiambu, Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Embu, Meru, Tharaka Nithi, Laikipia, Nyandarua and surrounding counties, partly cloudy skies are forecast tonight.

Light rainfall is expected in a few areas on Thursday morning, followed by sunny intervals. Afternoon conditions will remain mostly sunny, although isolated light showers may occur in some locations.

For North Western Kenya, including Turkana and Samburu counties, residents can expect partly cloudy conditions tonight and generally sunny weather throughout Thursday. However, strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots are likely in parts of Turkana.

In North Eastern Kenya, comprising Marsabit, Garissa, Mandera, Wajir and Isiolo counties, partly cloudy skies are expected overnight, followed by sunny intervals during the day. Localised rainfall may occur in parts of Moyale, while strong winds are forecast across much of the region.

Along the Coast—covering Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Lamu and Tana River counties—partly cloudy conditions are expected, with showers likely in a few areas during both the morning and afternoon hours.

The Meteorological Department has also warned of strong southwesterly winds exceeding 25 knots across the coastal region.

Kenyans living in areas expected to experience strong winds have been advised to remain alert and take necessary precautions as the weather conditions persist.

Kenya Met Issues Weather Update-Isolated Rainfall To Hit Nairobi, Central Highlands

The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has released its weekly weather forecast for June 9 to June 15, 2026, indicating that while a significant portion of the country will remain generally dry, regional variations will bring localized rainfall to the highlands and coastal strip, alongside scorching daytime temperatures in the lowlands.

The forecast maps out a distinct climatic split between the agricultural highlands, the Indian Ocean coastline, and the expansive pastoralist zones of Northern and Eastern Kenya.

Rainfall Expected in Key Highlands and Coastal Counties

According to the meteorological advisory, sporadic wet spells will persist in regions encompassing the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, as well as the Kenyan Coast.

Residents in the following counties should prepare for intermittent precipitation throughout the week:

  • Highlands East/West of the Rift Valley & Central: Nairobi, Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri, Meru, Embu, Nakuru, Eldoret, Kericho, Kisii, Kakamega, and Bungoma.

  • The Coastal Strip: Mombasa, Kwale, and Kilifi.

“Most parts of the country are expected to be generally dry. However, some parts of the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley and the Coast may receive rainfall,” the department stated.

Cool, Cloudy Blankets Over the Lowlands and Rift Valley

In contrast to the rainy zones, a combination of cool and persistently cloudy conditions is projected to take over the Southeastern lowlands, parts of the Rift Valley floor, and segments of Northeastern Kenya.

This weather pattern will primarily affect counties heavily reliant on pastoralism and livestock production, including Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Taita-Taveta, Kajiado, Narok, Baringo, Turkana, Samburu, Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera. The overcast skies are expected to provide temporary relief from direct solar radiation during the morning hours.

Scorching Heat: Temperatures to Cross the 30°C Mark

Despite the morning clouds, the Meteorological Department issued a high-temperature alert for several low-lying and arid regions, warning residents to brace for intense daytime heat.

Maximum temperatures are forecast to surge past 30 degrees Celsius, particularly in Northwestern Kenya, the Northeastern plains, the Southeastern lowlands, and parts of the Coast. Major urban centers and towns flagged for extreme daytime heat include:

  • Lodwar (Turkana County)

  • Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera

  • Kitui, Makueni, and Machakos

  • Voi (Taita-Taveta County)

Public health officials and agricultural experts advise residents in these high-heat zones to stay hydrated and manage livestock watering schedules efficiently as the dry spell consolidates across the northern and eastern frontiers.

Bracing for El Niño-Kenya Met Issues Advisory Ahead Of Expected Heavy Rainfall

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a critical national advisory urging farmers across the country to immediately implement aggressive moisture-conservation techniques to safeguard their investments against a dry June weather outlook.

In a comprehensive monthly climate report released on June 5, 2026, the weather regulator warned that a combination of dwindling precipitation and higher-than-average temperatures will likely cause severe soil moisture stress for millions of smallholder farmers.

Strict Guidelines for Crop and Livestock Farmers

To mitigate the impact of the dry spell, agronomy experts from the ministry and weather officials have advised crop farmers to heavily mulch their fields, practice minimum tillage, construct tied ridges, and aggressively invest in rainwater harvesting structures.

Simultaneously, livestock keepers—particularly those in arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs)—have been put on high alert to conserve existing fodder, manage water supplies efficiently, and shield their animals from occasional sharp drops in temperature and strong winds.

“Crop and livestock owners are further urged to stay vigilant against opportunistic pests, fungal outbreaks, and animal vectors, which typically thrive where residual rainfall and localized humidity linger,” the advisory noted.

Farmers have been strongly discouraged from making major planting or financial decisions without consulting localized agricultural extension officers or closely monitoring weekly weather updates.

Regional Rainfall Outlook: Winners and Losers

The strict directives come as the meteorological agency projects near-average to below-average rainfall across the vast majority of the country throughout June.

  • The Affected Zones: The dry outlook heavily impacts the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Southeastern Lowlands, and the Northeastern and Northwestern expanses. This covers breadbasket and agricultural counties including Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Embu, Tharaka Nithi, Meru, Laikipia, Nyandarua, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa, Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia, Elgeyo-Marakwet, Nandi, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, West Pokot, Turkana, Samburu, and Marsabit.

  • The Bright Spots: In contrast, the Lake Victoria Basin and the Coastal strip stand out as agricultural havens this month, with near-average to above-average rainfall expected. Maize crops in the Western and Nyanza regions are currently performing optimally, buoyed by deep soil moisture carried over from the intense May long rains.

  • Maximum Vulnerability: Northeastern Kenya remains the highest-risk zone, where drastically reduced rainfall is already triggering severe moisture deficits, threatening to halt pasture recovery and deplete water pans for pastoralist communities.

The Global Shadow of El Niño

Kenya’s localized weather stress coincides with an alarming global update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warning that El Niño conditions are rapidly consolidating.

According to global climate updates released on June 2, 2026, there is an 80 percent probability of a full El Niño transition establishing itself between June and August 2026. For East Africa, this looming macro-climate shift creates an unpredictable double-edged sword: while June brings immediate dry spells and heat stress, the subsequent months risk bringing disruptive, unseasonable rainfall patterns, localized flash flooding, and long-term food insecurity.

Kenya Met warns of heavy rains for the rest of the week

The Kenya Meteorological Department has released a seven-day weather outlook covering Tuesday, May 13 to Sunday, May 18, 2026, warning that rainfall is expected to persist in several parts of the country.

“Rainfall is expected to continue in the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley and some parts of the Coast, and Northwestern Kenya,” the department stated.

According to the forecast, some of the affected regions are likely to experience heavy rainfall during the first half of the week, although the intensity is expected to reduce from Thursday, May 15.

Regional weather outlook

Residents in the Lake Victoria Basin and Rift Valley counties — including Kisumu, Kericho, Nakuru, Narok, Bomet, Kisii, Kakamega, and Siaya — should expect morning showers in a few areas, with afternoon and evening thunderstorms forecast across several locations during the early part of the week. Isolated night showers are also likely.

In the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, covering areas such as Nairobi, Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Embu, Meru, Tharaka-Nithi, and Laikipia, morning rains are expected over a few places during the first half of the forecast period.

The department also predicts afternoon showers and thunderstorms across several parts of the region before conditions gradually ease later in the week. Isolated night showers may still occur.

In Northwestern Kenya, residents should prepare for morning showers in several areas during the first half of the week, with afternoon and night showers also expected in some locations.

Meanwhile, Northeastern Kenya is forecast to experience mostly stable weather conditions characterised by sunny intervals during the day and partly cloudy nights. However, occasional morning rains and isolated showers later in the day may occur during the opening days of the forecast period.

The Southeastern Lowlands, including Machakos, Kitui, and Kajiado counties, are expected to remain largely sunny during the day with partly cloudy nights, although scattered morning rains and isolated afternoon or night showers remain possible.

Along the Coast region, showers are expected during the morning, afternoon, and night hours in a few places during the first half of the week.

Temperature outlook

The meteorological department has projected daytime temperatures exceeding 30°C in the Coast region, parts of the Southeastern Lowlands, and across Northeastern and Northwestern Kenya.

On the other hand, colder night temperatures of below 10°C are expected in the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, parts of the Central Rift Valley, and areas around Mount Kilimanjaro.

Public advisory

KMD has advised residents in areas likely to receive heavy rainfall to remain cautious and take safety precautions.

The department urged the public to avoid walking or driving through flooded or fast-moving water, avoid sheltering under trees or near grilled windows during storms, and remain vigilant in landslide-prone and low-lying areas.

The forecast comes as Kenya continues to experience the March–April–May long rains season.

Weather Alert- Kenya Met Warns Of Heavy Rainfall And Chilly Nights This Weekend

The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority has issued a weather advisory urging citizens to prepare for significant rainfall starting Friday, May 8, through Tuesday, May 12, 2026. According to the forecast, heavy rains are expected to impact several regions, including Western Kenya, the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, and Central Kenya.

In the Western and Rift Valley regions, counties such as Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, and Nyamira, alongside Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, and Nakuru, are likely to experience downpours. The weatherman notes that while these areas may see slight mid-morning showers, more intense rainfall is expected to develop in the afternoons following cloudy conditions.

Thunderstorms and Potential Flooding

Central Kenya, including Nairobi, Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri, and Meru, is also on high alert. The meteorological department warned that rainfall in these areas would be accompanied by thunderstorms, and residents have been urged to stay vigilant against potential flash floods. Meanwhile, the coastal strip, covering Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, and Kwale, is projected to receive moderate rainfall over the same period.

In contrast, the Southeastern lowlands, including Machakos, Kitui, and Makueni, are expected to remain largely dry and cloudy. Northern Kenya and the Coast are also forecast to experience high daytime temperatures, with some areas reaching peaks of up to 37°C.

Brace for Cold Nights

Beyond the rainfall, residents of Central Kenya and the highlands should prepare for a significant drop in temperatures. Nighttime temperatures in counties like Nyandarua, Laikipia, and Nairobi are expected to plunge as low as 9°C.

The authority advises those in the affected regions to carry umbrellas, dress warmly for the cold nights, and avoid crossing flooded roads or sheltering under trees during thunderstorms.

Kenya Met warns Kenyans to brace for heavy rainfall this weekend

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued an updated heavy rainfall advisory warning Kenyans to prepare for intensified rains across several parts of the country between May 8 and May 14, 2026.

Heavy rains expected to intensify

According to the advisory, rainfall currently being experienced in parts of the Highlands West and East of the Rift Valley, as well as the Central Highlands and sections of the Southeastern Lowlands, is expected to intensify to more than 20mm within 24 hours.

The department noted that the heaviest rainfall is likely to occur between May 10 and May 13, with the weather system also expected to spread to parts of northwestern Kenya.

Meteorologists further indicated that although the intensity of the rains is projected to reduce from May 14, rainfall activity is still expected to continue in several regions afterward.

Regions likely to remain affected

Areas expected to continue receiving rainfall include the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Rift Valley and the Highlands East of the Rift Valley.

The advisory comes amid ongoing wet conditions being experienced in many counties, with authorities closely monitoring the possibility of flooding, poor visibility and transport disruptions.

Public urged to remain cautious

Residents in affected areas have been advised to remain alert and take precautionary measures during the rainy period.

Motorists have been urged to exercise caution on roads due to reduced visibility and slippery conditions, while people living in flood-prone and landslide-prone areas have been encouraged to stay vigilant.

The weather department also warned against attempting to cross flooded roads, rivers and drainage channels during periods of heavy rainfall.

Flash Floods Paralyze Nairobi- Estates Submerged & Roads Impassable

Heavy overnight rains have left a trail of destruction across Nairobi, turning key transport arteries and residential estates into waterlogged zones. By Tuesday morning, several areas were declared impassable as drainage systems failed to cope with the deluge.

Estates Under Siege

The impact was felt most severely in residential hubs where floodwaters breached property lines:

  • Utawala: Residents awoke to a swollen stream that burst its banks, sending fast-moving water into homes and residential compounds. The force of the runoff was strong enough to sweep away gates and sever access roads.

  • Clay City: Along Seasons Road, entire sections were rendered unusable, cutting off commuters heading toward the city center.

Traffic Gridlock and Infrastructure Failure

Major transit points became bottlenecks as vehicles stalled in deep water:

  • Ruai Bypass: Near the Kangundo Road intersection, the bypass was submerged, creating a massive traffic snarl-up that left passengers stranded for hours.

  • Kariokor Roundabout: Infrastructure at this critical junction failed completely. Residents reported that overwhelmed drainage systems began spewing raw sewage into the streets.

A Public Health Concern

The situation at the Kariokor Market junction—linking General Waruinge Street and Ring Road Ngara—posed a significant health risk. Pedestrians were seen navigating contaminated water, while passing vehicles inadvertently splashed sewage onto commuters.

Looking Ahead

The Kenya Meteorological Service has warned that the city isn’t in the clear yet. With more rainfall forecasted for the remainder of the week, residents in low-lying areas and those near poor drainage systems are urged to remain vigilant as the city’s infrastructure continues to be pushed to its limit.

Weather Alert: Kenya Met Predicts Relentless Rainfall Amidst Surging Temperatures

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a dual-threat weather advisory for the coming week, warning citizens to prepare for a paradoxical combination of continuous heavy rainfall and unusually high temperatures. The forecast, released on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, indicates that while many parts of the country will experience significant precipitation, the intervals between storms will be characterized by stifling heat, creating a “greenhouse effect” across several regions.

Heavy Rains Expected in Key Regions

The Met Department projects that the ongoing long rains season will intensify, particularly in the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, and the Rift Valley itself. In the Central Highlands, counties including Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Kiambu, Meru, Embu, and Tharaka Nithi are expected to see increased activity. Similarly, Western Kenya regions such as Siaya, Kisumu, Homabay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo-Marakwet, Nandi, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, and Busia remain at high risk. Along the Coastal Strip, Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Kwale, and Lamu should prepare for morning showers. Residents in these areas are warned of potential flash floods, particularly in urban centers with poor drainage and near riverbanks.

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The Heat Factor: High Temperatures Persist

In a surprising twist, the Met Department noted that despite the rain, daytime temperatures in several parts of the country will remain exceptionally high. North-eastern and North-western Kenya, including Mandera, Marsabit, Wajir, Garissa, and Turkana, are expected to experience temperatures soaring above 35°C with heatwaves during the day. In Nairobi and its environs, despite the afternoon and evening showers, humidity levels will remain high, making the environment feel significantly warmer than the actual recorded temperatures.

Safety and Health Precautions

The combination of high humidity and heat, followed by sudden heavy downpours, presents several risks. To ensure safety, citizens are advised to avoid driving or walking through moving water, as even a small amount of fast-moving water can sweep away a vehicle. Health risks also increase as the warm, wet conditions are ideal for the breeding of mosquitoes and the spread of waterborne diseases, making it essential to use treated nets and boil drinking water. Furthermore, the public is encouraged to stay hydrated to avoid heat exhaustion in northern counties and to avoid sheltering under trees or near metallic structures during thunderstorms to minimize the risk of lightning strikes in the Lake Victoria Basin and Western Highlands.

Impact on Agriculture

While the rain is a welcome sight for farmers in the breadbasket regions, the Met Department warns that excessive rainfall in a short period could lead to soil erosion and crop destruction. Farmers are encouraged to consult with local agricultural officers on the best soil management practices for the current season. The Kenya Met Department will continue to monitor the situation and provide daily updates as the weather patterns evolve throughout the week.

24 hour weather forecast from Met Department warns of increased rain

In a fresh advisory, the Kenya Meteorological Department has warned that rainfall is expected across several parts of the country, with particularly heavy downpours forecast along the coastal region between 9:00 p.m. on Thursday, April 23, and 9:00 p.m. on Friday, April 24.

Residents in affected areas have been urged to stay alert and take necessary precautions, especially in flood-prone zones.

Heavy rains and strong winds expected

According to Kenya Met, the rainfall will vary in intensity across regions, with enhanced activity expected at the Coast. In addition, strong southerly to southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots (12.5 m/s) are forecast in parts of Turkana, Marsabit, and coastal counties.

Regional outlook

Highlands West of the Rift Valley and Lake Victoria Basin
Counties including Bungoma, Kakamega, Kisumu, Homa Bay, and Nakuru are expected to experience showers and thunderstorms in the evening and afternoon. Morning hours will feature sunny intervals with a chance of rain in some areas.

Highlands East of the Rift Valley
Areas such as Nyeri, Kiambu, Murang’a, Meru, Embu, and Nairobi will see showers in a few places tonight. Morning clouds are expected to clear into sunny intervals, with occasional afternoon showers.

Northwestern region
Turkana and Samburu counties will experience partly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers at night. Strong southeasterly winds are expected in parts of Turkana, with mostly sunny conditions during the day and isolated afternoon showers.

Northeastern region
Marsabit, Mandera, Garissa, Isiolo, and Wajir counties should expect scattered showers tonight, followed by intervals of sunshine in the morning and possible thunderstorms later in the day. Strong winds are also forecast in parts of Marsabit.

Southeastern lowlands
Counties such as Kajiado, Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, and Taita Taveta will experience partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers. Rain may occur in the morning in some areas, with a mix of sunshine and showers in the afternoon, especially near Mt. Kilimanjaro.

Coastal region
Heavy rainfall is expected in Kilifi, Mombasa, Kwale, Lamu, and Tana River counties over the next 24 hours. Showers are likely at night and in the morning, with continued rainfall in some areas into the afternoon. Strong southerly winds are also anticipated across parts of the Coast.

Public advisory

Kenya Met has advised Kenyans to remain vigilant, particularly in regions prone to flooding, as the combination of heavy rainfall and strong winds could disrupt normal activities.

Prepare for Downpours: Kenya Met Issues Updated Rainfall Forecast For The Week

The Kenya Meteorological Department (Kenya Met) has issued an updated weather advisory for the week of April 21 to April 27, 2026, warning of continued rainfall across several parts of the country. As the “Long Rains” season enters its peak, the department has identified specific regions likely to experience heavy downpours, occasional thunderstorms, and potential localized flooding.

According to the latest bulletin released from the Dagoretti Corner headquarters, the rainfall is expected to be concentrated in the Highlands both East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, and parts of the Coast.

Regions Expecting Heavy Rainfall

The forecast indicates that rainfall will be most intense in the following areas:

  • The Lake Victoria Basin & South Rift Valley: Regions including Kisumu, Homabay, Migori, Kisii, Kericho, and Bomet are expected to receive afternoon showers and thunderstorms throughout the week.

  • Highlands West of the Rift Valley: Counties such as Kakamega, Bungoma, and Trans Nzoia will likely experience consistent rainfall, with some areas receiving over 40mm in a single day.

  • Central Highlands (Including Nairobi): Residents of Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, and Murang’a should prepare for cloudy mornings giving way to afternoon and evening showers.

  • The Coastal Strip: Kwale, Kilifi, and Mombasa counties are forecasted to receive moderate rainfall, primarily in the morning hours, driven by monsoon winds.

Flash Flood Warnings and Safety Alerts

With the ground already saturated from previous weeks of rain, Kenya Met has warned of an increased risk of flash floods, particularly in urban areas with poor drainage and in low-lying regions.

“Drivers and pedestrians are urged to avoid crossing flooded roads or seasonal hairpins,” the department stated. “Visibility may also be reduced during heavy downpours, especially along the Nairobi-Nakuru and Eldoret-Malaba highways.”

The department also highlighted the risk of lightning strikes in the Western and Lake Victoria regions, advising residents to avoid sheltering under trees or near metallic structures during storms.

Impact on Agriculture and Transport

While the rains pose a challenge to commuters and urban dwellers, they remain a welcome sight for farmers. The Ministry of Agriculture has noted that the current moisture levels are ideal for the growth of maize and bean crops planted in late March. However, farmers in hilly areas like Murang’a and Kisii have been cautioned against landslides, with the Met Department advising those on steep slopes to remain vigilant for cracks in the ground.

The “Dry” Exception

In contrast, the North-Eastern and North-Western parts of Kenya, including Mandera, Wajir, and parts of Turkana, are expected to remain generally dry and hot, with temperatures hovering between 32°C and 38°C.

The Bottom Line: If you are in the southern half of the country or the highlands, keep your umbrella close and plan for potential traffic delays during the evening commute. The Met Department will continue to provide 24-hour updates as the weather patterns shift.

Kenya MET sounds the alarm over anticipated intense rain and possible flooding

The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has issued a weather alert warning of intensified rainfall across several regions between 9:00 p.m. on Wednesday, April 15, and 9:00 p.m. on Thursday, April 16.

According to the department, many parts of the country will experience rainfall, with heavier downpours expected in the Highlands both west and east of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, as well as in northeastern Kenya. Strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots (12.5 m/s) are also forecast in parts of Turkana and Marsabit counties.

Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin and Rift Valley

Counties such as Nandi, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Siaya, Busia, Baringo, Nakuru, Trans-Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo-Marakwet, West Pokot, Kisii, Nyamira, Kericho, Bomet, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori and Narok are expected to receive showers and thunderstorms in several areas overnight.

Morning hours will feature sunny intervals with occasional light rain in parts of the Lake Victoria Basin, before transitioning into widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Highlands East of the Rift Valley

Areas including Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Tharaka Nithi, Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Embu, Meru and Kiambu will experience scattered showers at night.

Light rain may occur in a few areas during the morning, followed by sunny intervals, before showers develop again in multiple locations in the afternoon.

Northwestern Region

Turkana and Samburu counties are expected to remain partly cloudy overnight, with generally sunny conditions during the day.

However, parts of Turkana may experience strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots.

Northeastern Region

Counties such as Isiolo, Garissa, Marsabit, Mandera and Wajir are likely to receive showers in a few areas overnight.

Morning conditions will alternate between light rain and sunny intervals, with showers and thunderstorms expected later in the afternoon. Strong winds are also forecast in parts of Marsabit.

Southeastern Lowlands

Makueni, Machakos, Kitui, Kajiado and Taita Taveta will experience isolated showers at night.

Morning rains are expected in areas around Mount Kilimanjaro, followed by sunny breaks, before afternoon showers in a few locations.

Coastal Region

In Tana River, Kilifi, Mombasa, Kwale and Lamu counties, showers are expected in some areas overnight.

Rain may continue into the morning in a few places before giving way to sunny intervals, with additional showers forecast later in the afternoon.

Flood Risk and Evacuation Advisory

In a related development, the Water Resources Authority (WRA) has issued an urgent flood warning for residents living downstream of Nairobi Dam.

The alert follows rising water levels and sustained heavy rainfall, which have raised concerns that the dam’s earthen embankment along the Ngong River in Kibera could fail.

Residents and businesses in low-lying areas have been advised to remain alert and move to safer ground. Areas listed under the evacuation advisory include Kibera, Nyayo Highrise, Dam Estate, Lang’ata, Nairobi West and Madaraka.

Heavy Rains Set To Intensify In Nairobi And Central Highlands, Kenya Met Warns

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued an advisory regarding a significant increase in rainfall intensity across the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, with Nairobi expected to be among the most affected areas.

In a weather update released on Monday, April 13, 2026, the department confirmed that the current wet spell is set to persist across several regions of the country throughout the week.

Regional Forecast Breakdown

While many parts of the country will experience continued precipitation, the weather patterns vary significantly by region:

  • Highlands East of the Rift Valley (including Nairobi): Expect enhanced rainfall intensity, with heavy downpours likely to impact daily commutes and outdoor activities.

  • Moderate Rainfall Zones: Continued moderate showers are projected for Western Kenya, the South Rift Valley, North-Eastern Kenya, the South-Eastern Lowlands, and the Coastal region.

  • Northwestern Kenya: In contrast to the rest of the country, this region is expected to remain largely dry, with sunny intervals prevailing most of the time.

Safety and Preparedness

The “Weatherman” has urged residents in the highlighted high-intensity zones to remain alert. The continuation of rain in the Central Highlands and South-Eastern areas follows previous warnings regarding shifting sea conditions at the Coast and fluctuating sunny-to-rainy periods across the interior.

“Rainfall is expected over several parts of the country with enhanced intensity over the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi,” the department stated, emphasizing that those in the Northwestern sector should prepare for warmer, clearer skies compared to the rest of the nation.

Flash Floods & Coastal Heat- Kenya Met Releases Crucial April 2026 Climate Outlook

The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has issued its weather forecast for April 2026, marking the peak of the “long rains” season. While much of the country can expect steady, near-average rainfall, the department has raised a red flag over potential flooding in the North-east and a spike in temperatures along the Coast.

Flood Risks in Arid Regions

While the Highlands both East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, and parts of North-western Kenya are projected to stay within their typical rainfall brackets, North-eastern Kenya is an outlier.

Marsabit, Wajir, and Mandera counties are forecast to receive above-average rainfall. Meteorologists warn that because these areas are largely arid with limited drainage infrastructure, sudden downpours could lead to hazardous localized flooding. Residents in these regions are advised to stay alert to rapid water accumulation.

Water Scarcity at the Coast

In sharp contrast, the coastal strip is facing a dry spell. Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, and Kwale counties are expected to see below-average rainfall throughout the month. This dry trend, combined with above-average heat, has prompted the Kenya Met to urge residents and businesses in these areas to prioritize water conservation.

Late-Month Surge Expected

The outlook also warns of a possible surge in rainfall toward the end of April. This late-month peak could bring intense storms nationwide, increasing the risk of lightning and strong winds even in areas currently experiencing “near-average” conditions.

Farmers and urban residents alike are encouraged to monitor weekly updates as the country navigates the most active month of the March-April-May (MAM) season.

Kenya Braces for Week of Mixed Weather Conditions, Says Meteorological Department

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a nationwide advisory warning Kenyans to prepare for a week of varied weather patterns between April 7 and April 13.

According to the forecast, different parts of the country will experience a combination of rainfall, sunshine, and rising temperatures, with conditions expected to shift throughout the day in several regions.

Rainfall and thunderstorms expected
The department indicated that areas within the Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, and parts of the Rift Valley are likely to receive intermittent rainfall, particularly in the afternoons and at night.

Residents in these regions have also been warned to expect occasional thunderstorms, which may disrupt outdoor activities and travel plans.

In the northwestern and northeastern parts of the country, brief morning showers are expected, followed by partly cloudy skies as the day progresses.

Hot conditions in lowland areas
While some regions prepare for rain, others—especially the coastal belt and southeastern lowlands—are set to experience high daytime temperatures exceeding 30°C.

These hot conditions are expected to persist throughout the week, raising concerns about heat exposure, particularly for outdoor workers and vulnerable groups.

Changing weather patterns throughout the day
The forecast highlights a pattern of cloudy mornings in several areas, giving way to sunny intervals before rainfall returns later in the day. This variation underscores the unpredictable nature of the current weather conditions.

“Rainfall is expected to continue in some parts… while daytime temperatures will exceed 30°C in several regions,” the department noted.

Public advised to take precautions
Weather experts are urging Kenyans to remain vigilant and plan their daily activities carefully, as conditions may change rapidly.

Farmers are advised to take advantage of the rainfall while also protecting crops from potential flooding. Commuters should prepare for possible disruptions during heavy showers, especially in urban and flood-prone areas.

Residents in low-lying regions have also been cautioned to remain alert for any signs of flooding.

As the week unfolds, the Meteorological Department continues to monitor the situation and is expected to provide updates as necessary.

Kenya MET issues warning to Kenyans over heavy rain anticipated

The Kenya Meteorological Department has forecast continued rainfall across several regions of the country, with some areas expected to experience above-average downpours.

In its seven-day weather outlook released on Tuesday, March 10, the department indicated that rainfall is likely in parts of Western Kenya, the Central Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, the South-eastern Lowlands and the South Coast between March 10 and March 16.

Counties Expected to Receive Rain

In Western Kenya and the Rift Valley, rainfall is expected in counties including Siaya County, Kisumu County, Homa Bay County, Migori County, Kisii County and Nyamira County.

Other counties likely to receive rain include Trans Nzoia County, Baringo County, Uasin Gishu County, Elgeyo Marakwet County, Nandi County, Nakuru County, Narok County, Kericho County and Bomet County.

Additional areas expected to receive rainfall include Kakamega County, Vihiga County, Bungoma County, Busia County and West Pokot County.

According to the weather agency, these regions may experience heavy rainfall over the next seven days, typically beginning with cloudy intervals and light showers in the morning before intensifying in the afternoon.

“Morning rains are likely to occur over a few places. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected over a few to several places. Night showers are likely to occur over a few places,” the department stated.

Central Highlands and Nairobi

Rainfall is also expected in counties within the Central Highlands, including Nyandarua County, Laikipia County, Nyeri County, Kirinyaga County, Murang’a County, Kiambu County, Meru County, Embu County, Tharaka Nithi County and Nairobi County.

Residents in these areas have been advised to prepare for light morning showers that could intensify during the afternoon and into the evening hours.

The department noted that mornings may start with cloudy conditions and light rain before giving way to sunny intervals, followed by scattered afternoon showers.

South-eastern and Coastal Regions

A similar weather pattern is expected in the south-eastern lowlands covering Kitui County, Makueni County, Machakos County, Kajiado County and Taita Taveta County.

Along the coast, rainfall is also forecast in Mombasa County, Kilifi County, Lamu County and Kwale County.

Temperature Outlook

The Kenya Meteorological Department further indicated that daytime temperatures above 30°C are likely in several areas, particularly in the Coast, the South-eastern Lowlands, and parts of North-eastern and North-western Kenya.

Meanwhile, cooler nighttime temperatures below 10°C are expected in some parts of the Central Highlands, the Central Rift Valley, and areas surrounding Mount Kilimanjaro.

Kenya Met Department issues raining advisory

The Kenya Meteorological Department has released its 24-hour weather forecast, outlining areas expected to receive rainfall between 9pm on Sunday, March 1, and 9pm on Monday, March 2.

Regions Expected to Receive Rainfall

Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin and Rift Valley
Residents in Kakamega, Vihiga, Busia, Bungoma, Kisumu, Kisii, Nyamira, Migori, Siaya, Homa Bay, Kericho, Nandi, Bomet, Nakuru, Elgeyo Marakwet, West Pokot, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia and Narok should prepare for showers and thunderstorms tonight.

Morning rains are expected in several areas, with showers and thunderstorms likely to intensify in the afternoon.

Highlands East of the Rift Valley
Counties including Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Embu, Meru, Kiambu, Tharaka Nithi, Laikipia, Nyandarua and Nairobi are forecast to experience showers and thunderstorms in several places tonight.

Cloudy conditions are expected in the morning, with rain in a few areas before giving way to sunny intervals. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are also anticipated.

Northwestern Region
Parts of Turkana and Samburu are likely to receive showers and thunderstorms tonight, particularly along the Kenya–Uganda border and within Samburu County. Light morning rains are expected in a few areas, followed by afternoon thunderstorms.

Northeastern Region
Marsabit, Garissa, Mandera, Wajir and Isiolo counties should expect showers and thunderstorms in select areas tonight. Morning rains are forecast in a few locations, with sunny breaks before additional afternoon showers.

Southeastern Lowlands
Machakos, Makueni, Kitui, Taita Taveta and Kajiado counties are projected to receive showers and thunderstorms tonight. Morning rains are expected in some areas, with more widespread thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Coastal Region
Kwale, Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu and Tana River counties are likely to experience showers in a few areas tonight. Similar conditions are expected in the morning and afternoon, particularly along the South Coast.


Heavy Rainfall Advisory

In a separate advisory, the Kenya Meteorological Department warned of possible flooding in more than 20 counties as heavy rainfall persists.

In its update issued on Wednesday, February 25, the department indicated that rainfall exceeding 20 millimetres within 24 hours is expected to continue through Tuesday, March 3. The advisory, issued under Message Update No. Two of Advisory No. 01/2026, cited a moderate probability of occurrence ranging between 33% and 66%.

The forecast shows that while rainfall may ease from Sunday, March 1, in parts of the Southeastern lowlands, Coastal region and the Highlands East of the Rift Valley—including Nairobi—heavy downpours are expected to remain intense over the Lake Victoria Basin and the Highlands West of the Rift Valley until March 3.

Counties listed as high-risk areas include Migori, Nyamira, Bungoma, Busia, Kakamega, Vihiga, West Pokot, Baringo, Elgeyo Marakwet, Trans Nzoia, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Nakuru, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Kisii, Kericho and Bomet.

Others are Kiambu, Embu, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Laikipia, Tharaka Nithi, Meru, Nairobi, Narok and Kajiado, as well as Makueni, Machakos, Taita Taveta, Kitui, Kwale, Mombasa, Tana River and Kilifi. Parts of Isiolo, Marsabit and Garissa counties are also affected.


Safety Advisory to the Public

The department has urged residents in affected regions to remain alert for possible floods and flash floods. It warned that water may accumulate in downstream areas even where heavy rainfall has not been directly experienced.

Poor visibility during intense rainfall is also expected, posing risks to motorists and air travel operations. Members of the public have been advised to avoid walking or driving through moving water, refrain from sheltering under trees or near grilled windows during storms, and steer clear of open fields due to lightning risks.

Kenya Meteorological Department Forecasts Sustained Rainfall & Thunderstorms Across the Country

The Kenya Meteorological Department (MET) has issued a nationwide advisory, urging citizens to brace for a five-day period of continuous rainfall and unpredictable weather patterns. The forecast, which covers Tuesday, February 24, through Saturday, February 28, 2026, indicates that a significant portion of the country will experience heavy downpours, frequent thunderstorms, and a notable dip in temperatures. Major urban hubs and transit corridors, including Nairobi, Kiambu, Nakuru, Mombasa, Kisumu, Turkana, Kericho, and Marsabit, are expected to be the most affected as the week progresses.

According to the weatherman, the Central Highlands—encompassing Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Kiambu, Meru, Embu, and Tharaka Nithi—will experience consistent showers accompanied by thunderstorms. In these high-altitude regions, temperatures are expected to fluctuate between a daytime high of 29°C and a chilly nighttime low of 10°C. Similarly, the South Eastern Lowlands, including Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Kajiado, and Taita Taveta, alongside the inland sections of Tana River County, will face stormy conditions throughout the forecasted period, with maximum temperatures reaching 34°C and minimums dropping to 15°C.

The Western region and Rift Valley are also set for a wet week, with Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, and West Pokot counties anticipating prevailing rains and thunder. In these areas, the MET department predicts maximum temperatures of 30°C and minimums of 12°C. Meanwhile, the Coastal strip—comprising Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, Kwale, and the coastal fringes of Tana River—will see consistent showers over the next week, with daytime highs averaging 33°C and nighttime lows staying around 22°C.

As the rains intensify, the department has cautioned motorists and pedestrians to be vigilant against reduced visibility and slippery roads, particularly during the evening hours when thunderstorms are most likely to peak. This five-day weather outlook suggests a reprieve from the recent heatwaves, but it also brings the risk of lightning strikes in thunderstorm-prone regions. Residents are encouraged to stay updated on local weather alerts and take necessary precautions to safeguard their property and well-being.

Several Kenyan Counties Brace for Heavy Rains This Week

Residents in multiple counties across Kenya are being urged to prepare as meteorologists forecast heavy rainfall this week, with potential for flooding and related impacts.

According to the latest weather outlook from the Kenya Meteorological Department, a widespread weather system is expected to bring significant rainfall to large parts of the country, particularly in the highlands, western, and coastal regions.

Counties Likely to Be Affected

The weather department has identified several counties that could experience intense downpours and localized flooding in the coming days. These include:

  • Western Kenya: Counties such as Bungoma, Kakamega, and Busia are forecast to receive heavy rain, increasing the risk of flash floods in low-lying areas and along riverbanks.

  • Rift Valley Highlands: Nakuru, Kericho, Bomet and parts of Uasin Gishu are expected to see persistent showers, which may cause soil saturation and possible mudslides in hilly terrain.

  • Central Highlands: Murang’a, Nyeri, and Kirinyaga counties are also on alert for sustained rainfall, with potential for waterlogging in urban centres.

  • Coastal Counties: Mombasa, Kilifi, and Kwale could experience intense rainfall combined with strong winds, raising concerns for coastal flooding and disruptions to transport.

Impact and Preparedness

Heavy rains during this season carry the risk of flash floods, landslides, and disruptions to daily life, especially in regions with poor drainage infrastructure. The Kenya Meteorological Department has advised communities in flood-prone areas to be vigilant.

Local authorities have been encouraged to activate emergency response plans and ensure that drainage systems are clear to mitigate the effects of heavy rainfall.

Early Warnings and Safety Tips

Officials warn that rain may be intense and persistent, especially in the late afternoon and evening hours — a pattern that could lead to sudden water accumulation on roads and in settlements.

Residents are advised to:

  • Avoid crossing swollen rivers or streams

  • Stay away from areas prone to landslides, especially on steep slopes

  • Secure loose items that could be blown by strong winds

  • Monitor updates from local officials and the Kenya Meteorological Department

A Seasonal Pattern

The forecast aligns with Kenya’s typical long rains season, which usually brings increased precipitation between March and May. This period is crucial for agricultural activities, but it also heightens the potential for weather-related hazards.

Farmers are encouraged to take necessary precautions, while motorists are urged to drive with care during heavy downpours.

As the week progresses, weather updates and advisories are expected to be shared regularly by national and county authorities to ensure public safety. Stay tuned to trusted local sources for the latest developments.

Kenya Met Lists Areas To Recieve Rainfall This Week

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a striking weekly forecast for February 10 to February 14, 2026, revealing a country of sharp atmospheric contrasts. While residents in the Western region and the Rift Valley are advised to keep their umbrellas close due to predicted heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, those in the Northern and Coastal stretches are facing a week of relentless sun and soaring temperatures. This climatic divide means that while some Kenyans navigate flooded roads, others will be grappling with a dry heat that shows little sign of relenting before the weekend.

In the Western region, the Rift Valley, and the Lake Victoria Basin, the “weatherman” predicts a particularly active week. Counties such as Kisumu, Kakamega, Kericho, and Trans Nzoia are set to experience daylong rains accompanied by frequent thunderstorms. These conditions are expected to persist well into the night, creating a damp and noisy atmosphere through Saturday. Despite the heavy precipitation, daytime temperatures in these areas will remain relatively warm, peaking at 32°C, though nighttime lows could dip to a chilly 9°C, necessitating both rain gear and heavy blankets for residents in these highlands.

The Nairobi and Central Highlands regions will experience a more intermittent relationship with the rain. Areas including Kiambu, Nyeri, Murang’a, and the capital itself are likely to see afternoon and night showers, specifically on Tuesday, Friday, and Saturday. This “on-and-off” pattern means residents can expect sunny mornings followed by sudden atmospheric shifts. Similar to the Western regions, daytime highs will hover around 32°C, but the nighttime air will be significantly crisper, with temperatures projected to drop as low as 8°C, making the evenings feel particularly biting for those in the higher altitudes of Nyandarua and Meru.

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Further south and toward the interior, the South Eastern Lowlands—including Machakos, Kitui, and Kajiado—will enjoy sunny conditions for the majority of the week. However, this dry streak is expected to be interrupted by localized showers on Friday and Saturday night. Meanwhile, the Coastal strip and Northern Kenya are in the grip of a significant heatwave. Residents of Mombasa, Kwale, and Lamu will see nothing but sun, with temperatures peaking at 34°C. Even more intense heat is forecast for the North, where Marsabit, Mandera, and Turkana are expected to hit a scorching 38°C. For those in the far North, the week is defined by a brutal, dry heat, reminding the nation that even as the Rift Valley thunders, much of the country remains firmly within summer’s grasp.

Kenya Met Forecast Predicts Sunshine For Most, Showers For 20 Counties

While most of the country prepares for a dusty and sun-drenched week, the Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a forecast identifying a few lucky—or perhaps soggy—exceptions. In a notice released on Thursday, January 29, 2026, the “weatherman” confirmed that while dry conditions will dominate the national landscape for the next five days, 20 specific counties are still in the line for light to moderate rainfall.

The Rainfall Zone: 20 Counties to Watch
If you are in the Highlands West of the Rift Valley or the Lake Victoria Basin, don’t pack away the umbrella just yet. Moderate showers are expected both in the afternoon and at night in the following areas:

Lake Victoria Basin: Siaya, Kisumu, Homabay, Migori, Kisii, and Nyamira.

Highlands West & Rift Valley: Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, and West Pokot.

Western Region: Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, and Busia.

The National Heat Map

For the rest of Kenya, the forecast is defined by clear skies and rising temperatures. The Northwestern region (Turkana and Samburu) will be the country’s “hot zone,” with temperatures peaking at a blistering 38°C.

Meanwhile, the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, and Kiambu, will remain sunny and dry. Expect daytime highs of 31°C, though residents should prepare for chilly early mornings as temperatures could dip as low as 8°C.

In the Northeastern counties—Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa, and Isiolo—the sun will be out in full force with maximums of 37°C. Down at the Coast and within the Southeastern lowlands (Machakos, Kitui, and Taita Taveta), temperatures will range between 33°C and 35°C, offering a typical tropical heatwave.

A Chilly Silver Lining
Despite the daytime heat, Kenya Met noted that night temperatures across many regions will remain partly cloudy. This should provide some much-needed relief from the sun’s intensity, though the significant drop between midday heat and early morning cold (especially in the highlands) may catch some off guard.

Whether you’re bracing for a downpour in Kisumu or seeking shade in Turkana, the next week promises a classic Kenyan mix of extreme heat and localized relief.

Kenya Met Explains Why Most Parts Of Kenya Are Currently Experiencing High Temperatures

The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has officially addressed the “heat wave” alerts circulating on social media, clarifying that no such extreme event is occurring. In a statement released Monday, January 26, 2026, the department urged the public to disregard unverified reports and rely only on official KMD channels.

​It’s Not a Heat Wave—It’s the Season

​According to the KMD, the current high temperatures are a normal part of Kenya’s climate cycle. Historically, January, February, and March are the warmest months of the year. The department emphasized that while it feels intense, the heat is consistent with seasonal expectations and does not qualify as a “heat wave.”

​Weather Outlook

​While most of the country will remain sunny and dry, the KMD provided a breakdown of what to expect over the coming week:

  • ​High-Temperature Zones: The Coast, North-eastern/North-western Kenya, and the south-eastern lowlands are expected to see average daytime highs exceeding 30°C.
  • ​Isolated Showers: Brief light rains may occur in the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, the Highlands (East and West of the Rift), and the Coastal strip.
  • ​Chilly Nights: Despite the daytime heat, some areas will experience a sharp drop in temperature at night. Parts of the Central Highlands and the North Rift could see lows dipping below 10°C.

​Key Takeaway for the Public

​The KMD is monitoring national weather patterns closely and promises to issue official advisories if conditions change. They warned that spreading misinformation creates “unnecessary panic” and reminded Kenyans to verify weather news through their official, verified social media platforms and website.

Kenya Met Shares Update On Areas Set To Receive Rainfall In The Next Few Days

Residents in Nairobi and the surrounding highlands are being urged to prepare for a significant drop in temperature as the Kenya Meteorological Department forecasts unusually cold nights and afternoon showers over the next five days. According to the latest update, minimum temperatures in the capital and nearby counties—including Kiambu, Nyandarua, Meru, and Embu—could plunge as low as 5°C. While the mornings in these regions are expected to offer brief sunny intervals, cloud cover will likely thicken as the day progresses, leading to scattered, isolated showers particularly after January 24. The weatherman noted that these conditions are driven by weather systems moving across regions east of the Rift Valley, resulting in chilly nighttime conditions that are quite uncharacteristic for Nairobi during the month of January.

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Meanwhile, there is a silver lining for farmers and residents in the Lake Victoria Basin and parts of the Rift Valley, where a gradual increase in rainfall is anticipated. Showers in these western regions are expected to begin as early as Monday and may intensify and spread into the evening hours by midweek.

However, the outlook remains starkly different for the northern and north-eastern parts of the country. Counties such as Turkana, Mandera, Wajir, Marsabit, and Garissa are set to experience persistent hot and dry conditions, with daytime temperatures soaring to 38°C. Similarly, the coastal strip, including Mombasa, Kilifi, and Lamu, will remain sunny and warm with highs of 34°C and minimal chances of precipitation.

Beyond these temperature shifts, the department has flagged a warning for strong Northeasterly to Southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots across the north-western, north-eastern, and coastal areas. These powerful gusts could potentially disrupt marine activities at the Coast or affect light structures in the northern plains. Given the potential for quick shifts in weather patterns, especially in the highland regions where isolated showers can occur even during sunny spells, the public is encouraged to stay informed through daily updates and ensure they dress warmly for the exceptionally cold nights ahead.

Kenya MET Lists Areas To Receive Rainfall This Week

While much of Kenya is set to remain dry over the next five days, the Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a forecast predicting occasional rainfall and strong winds for specific regions between Tuesday and Saturday.

Areas Expecting Early-Week Rain

Residents in the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West of the Rift Valley, and Central Highlands should prepare for wet weather on Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon.

  • Regions: Nairobi, Kiambu, Kisumu, Siaya, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, and West Pokot.

  • Conditions: Showers and thunderstorms are expected in the afternoons for the first two days of the forecast period, followed by sunny conditions for the remainder of the week.

  • Temperature Range: Highs of 31°C in the west and 29°C in the central regions, with lows reaching a chilly 7°C in both areas.

☀️ Regions Remaining Consistently Dry

The following areas will experience predominantly sunny and dry conditions throughout the entire five-day period:

  • South Eastern Lowlands & Inland Tana River: (Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Kajiado, Taita Taveta). Temperatures will range from 14°C to 32°C.

  • The Coast: (Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, Kwale). Expect warm, sunny weather with highs of 34°C and lows of 23°C.

  • North Eastern Kenya: (Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa, Isiolo). These regions will experience high heat, with maximum temperatures hitting 38°C.

  • North Western Kenya: (Turkana, Samburu). Expect day-long sun and occasional cloud cover, with peaks of 38°C.